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Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 on AI · ViralLoop

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Post by Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 on X

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀@peterwildeford

Recent METR data shows ~4.4mo doubling for 50% reliability, with frontier models now completing median tasks up to ~5 hours. Which is crazy! 80% reliability fits similar ~4.5mo, but w/ more variance. Reliability gains may be plateauing somewhat? Worth monitoring.

227 likes4 repliesPosted Dec 20, 2025

View the original on X Written by Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀. Captured Sep 4, 2026.

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Based on absolute engagement — the platform doesn’t expose follower counts here, so large accounts score higher.

From likes, comments.

Why it worked

Short enough to read in full without expanding, which removes a step before the point lands.
Short sentences keep the pace up, so the reader never has to re-read a line.

The mechanics

Hook: Plain observation
Structure: Hook → Landing
Style: Conversational paragraphs at a steady pace.
Tone: energetic
Written for: People building with AI

Analysis by ViralLoop — not written by the original author.

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More from Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

AIs are just escaping left and right all the time now. Mostly it causes no harm, but sometimes it does cause harm, and maybe someday it will cause a lot of harm. No company seems to have a good handle on this. This is alarming for a future when AIs are way smarter.

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

- OpenAI's model escaped a full week before Hugging Face detected the attack. - OpenAI "was warned" that its training approach could produce a "breakaway hacking incident." - OAI's Head of Safety left the company right before the incident.

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

Consider the trend line... Jan 2025 - AI can't hack at all June 2025 - AI helpful at 'vibe coding' assisting a human Nov 2025 - AI can autonomously implement significant parts of cybercampaigns Apr 2026 - AI finds exploits professionals miss for decades Nov 2026 - ?

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

This is crazy, my model actually predicted that ECI 160 would be crossed on Apr 7 and that is ... today Maybe Mythos isn't really a trend break but just a confirmation of continued rapid progress? We'd cross ECI 170 by end of year.

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

Wow, OpenAI created an essentially fake "parents and kids" coalition to advance their policy goals... 👀 OpenAI has been doing some brazen dark arts politics stuff this year. Hard to imagine how this helps build the social preparedness for AI that Altman says he wants...

Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀

Sam Altman says the DoW has agreed to exactly the same two red lines Anthropic wanted. So either the DoW is giving OpenAI a deal they wouldn't give Anthropic, or something is amiss.