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Nate Silver on AI · ViralLoop

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Post by Nate Silver on X

Nate Silver@NateSilver538

I'll admit to having a dark sense of humor but "Secretary of War Pete Hegseth radically alters American industrial policy because Claude is too woke" is just objectively a hilarious timeline to be in.

3.3K likes77 repliesPosted Feb 27, 2026

View the original on X Written by Nate Silver. Captured Sep 4, 2026.

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55

Viral score

Based on absolute engagement — the platform doesn’t expose follower counts here, so large accounts score higher.

From likes, comments.

Why it worked

Written from experience rather than as advice, which is harder to argue with.
Short enough to read in full without expanding, which removes a step before the point lands.
Quotes someone directly, which makes the moment concrete rather than summarised.

The mechanics

Hook: Plain observation
Structure: Hook
Style: Conversational paragraphs at a steady pace.
Tone: personal
Written for: People building with AI

Analysis by ViralLoop — not written by the original author.

Topics

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For those confused why the US state and Silicon Valley are having a meltdown on twitter today. China released multiple AI models that are 50x more efficient than the best American AI models and made them open source, ruining the AI market

Universal HIGH INCOME via checks issued by the Federal government is the best way to deal with unemployment caused by AI. AI/robotics will produce goods & services far in excess of the increase in the money supply, so there will not be inflation.

I am very excited about AI, but to go off-script for a minute: I built an app with Codex last week. It was very fun. Then I started asking it for ideas for new features and at least a couple of them were better than I was thinking of. I felt a little useless and it was sad.

Hi! I'm one of the prompt writers that worked on this ad. It's a lot harder than people think! Prompts that my team used include: -make it funny -make it epic AND funny -funnier!!! Please be nice to my team as many of them will be laid off/replaced by AI

It’s patently absurd that Apple isn’t smart enough to make their own AI, yet is somehow capable of ensuring that OpenAI will protect your security & privacy! Apple has no clue what’s actually going on once they hand your data over to OpenAI. They’re selling you down the river.

More from Nate Silver

Even when a newsletter *does* generate a lot of on-platform discussion because I put more work in, the conversion to off-site traffic is very middling. Maybe 2-3% of the readership for a Silver Bulletin article instead of ~1%. At 538, ~15% of our traffic came from Twitter!

That isn't really what the tweet you're self-quoting says. It says it's hard to establish the quality signal associated with a link and so each tweet should "stand alone", and also the platform design makes it hard to engage with such tweets. Maybe fix that?

It's not my data. The source is Cluvio, which is linked to in the article. I'd link to it in this tweet, but ironically, that would kill engagement. And I know that traffic is hard to count. Especially for a private company. But if you have more accurate data, then publish it.

And yes, I have criticisms of pre-Elon Twitter and obviously Bluesky, too. But things tend to get especially broken when you suppress outbound traffic and break links to the rest of the web, as with Twitter now or mid/late-2010s Facebook.

This is fair but deep uncertainty and confusion is probably the correct response tbh. Which is not to say there aren't firms out there with a clearer (though not necessarily correct) thesis about AI. But the median market participant doesn't and is going to be very vibes-based.