Kevin A. Bryan@AfinetheoremOn foresight: Sam and Elon both have a certain reputation (ask folks in SV if you don't know), but man, just unreal business leaders. Who else 1) started an AI lab in 2015, 2) paid huge for top talent like Ilya, 3) spent 2025 locking up 100s of billions for chips. 1/2Opens with an observation
Kevin A. Bryan@AfinetheoremI'd bet $1000 that from now to 2030, most "susceptible" jobs see *increased* share of labor. In the models these types of charts are based on, it is explicitly not "AI can substitute" but "AI is related". AI is a complement too! Who *doesn't* want to code right now, for instance?Opens with a number